Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.060004 0.064936 0.069919 0.075325 0.081015 0.086821 0.093184
2025-02-16 0.054383 0.061840 0.069626 0.078336 0.087778 0.097679 0.108818
2025-02-23 0.046289 0.055225 0.064852 0.075932 0.088271 0.101526 0.116780
2025-03-02 0.040763 0.050831 0.061993 0.075169 0.090185 0.106653 0.125968
2025-03-09 0.036365 0.047276 0.059696 0.074701 0.092155 0.111647 0.134883
2025-03-16 0.034286 0.046189 0.060043 0.077103 0.097285 0.120151 0.147764
2025-03-23 0.031958 0.044577 0.059588 0.078409 0.101028 0.127000 0.158737
2025-03-30 0.029765 0.042939 0.058938 0.079345 0.104231 0.133159 0.168887
2025-04-06 0.027285 0.040748 0.057445 0.079109 0.105912 0.137445 0.176794
2025-04-13 0.026002 0.039994 0.057658 0.080906 0.110010 0.144586 0.188095
2025-04-20 0.023762 0.037819 0.055930 0.080152 0.110878 0.147777 0.194634
2025-04-27 0.022219 0.036475 0.055183 0.080561 0.113129 0.152605 0.203132
2025-05-04 0.021114 0.035704 0.055186 0.081968 0.116706 0.159177 0.213926
2025-05-11 0.020697 0.035874 0.056433 0.085005 0.122388 0.168407 0.228070
2025-05-18 0.018300 0.033038 0.053474 0.082377 0.120718 0.168431 0.230847
2025-05-25 0.016714 0.031286 0.051911 0.081526 0.121275 0.171196 0.236992
2025-06-01 0.015368 0.029803 0.050645 0.081006 0.122211 0.174406 0.243679
2025-06-08 0.015047 0.029887 0.051601 0.083534 0.127190 0.182798 0.256936
2025-06-15 0.014412 0.029429 0.051740 0.084908 0.130625 0.189225 0.267745
2025-06-22 0.013713 0.028819 0.051620 0.085894 0.133529 0.194971 0.277715
2025-06-29 0.012733 0.027680 0.050660 0.085643 0.134724 0.198485 0.284842
2025-07-06 0.012370 0.027555 0.051208 0.087540 0.138854 0.205847 0.296937
2025-07-13 0.011369 0.026265 0.049923 0.086742 0.139246 0.208283 0.302685